In trading, hindsight is always 20/20. Foresight, however, can be quite blurry. That’s where there lies an important distinction between conventional market analysis and the true methods of W. D. Gann. Gann really did have a way of peering into the market’s future using a repetition of the past and some other spooky methods we can’t get into here. His foresight was often 20/20.
Pictured above is the picture of our 2014 annual forecast from March 21 2014 to March 21 2015. The forecast was first posted April 11th, 2014 (CLICK HERE FOR THE LINK). This is actually Gann’s “second curve” or method of yearly forecast. The first is curve is reserved exclusively for our clients and students of our Gann seminars. While the first type of forecast nails the percentage of rises and falls, this curve, or forecasting method centers around timing. When we first published this, we had all kinds of comments. Some doubters questioned when the dips were bigger than the actual market this year.
But what you need to see is the proportion of the peaks and drops and most importantly the timing. As you can see, when most market commentators where gloom and doom, we had a choppy but steady upswing into a July end high, then sip, then September peak. That’s where we are at now. So now what?
Well, you can see it in the chart. Chop into mid-October then a sudden drop. Classical October surprise. Followed by another surprise- a fast climb back to where we are and even higher by year end. This prognosis is also confirmed by our first forecast. Given the fact that the actual market dips have been less severe than the forecast shows, we can expect that this October surprise will be less severe than shown as well, and may present a great opportunity. With the global turmoil, we can easy imagine this to be a sudden geopolitical event.
For more on the trading and forecasting methods of W. D. Gann, check out our “W. D. GANN: MAGIC IN THE MARKETS” Course.
DISCLAIMER: The examples above are given as demonstrations of technical analysis and are therefore hypothetical and not actual trades. They do not represent actual account results nor include the entirety of all predictions we make.